Flooding is becoming more frequent and severe as the climate crisis intensifies, and it’s only likely to get worse. That can make the job of predicting where and when these disasters will hit challenging, especially in areas with little historical or real-time data from which to draw.
A new paper from researchers at Google posits that machine learning could hold some answers. The tech giant claims an AI model, which is trained on publicly available data, can predict river-based flooding up to five days in advance with a reliability “similar to or better” that of current systems.
Google VP of Engineering and Research Yossi Matias said what’s particularly notable about this model is that it’s broadly applicable on a global scale, which could provide more accurate forecasting for developing areas underserved by stream gauges, or water measurement stations along rivers.
“The real question was, how can we build a model that is not going to be built for one locale, but is a global model, where we can take whatever data [on what] happens anywhere in the world and put that into the prediction modeling,” Matias told Tech Brew. “The breakthrough is really to, one, show that we can actually take such a global model and do that and, two, to actually measure that in a systematic way.”
Keep reading here.—PK
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